RIP the convenience yield of US Treasuries?

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Treasuries are amazing. The US government bond market is so big, liquid, safe and widely-acceptable as quasi-money that it commands something that economists call a “convenience yield”.

In reality, it functions more like a premium — the real-world, semi-measurable manifestation of what is often otherwise referred to as America’s “exorbitant privilege”.

Treasuries are just so darn attractive to hold and easy to use for a wide variety of purposes that the US government can actually borrow more cheaply than even the genuine risk-free rate.

A few years ago the NY Fed estimated the savings at ca 20-40 basis points a year, or ca $35bn a year over the past two decades. Since 2020 it has amounted to about $70bn. Which may seem piddling in the context of a $28.6tn market, but still amounts to more than three…

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