VanEck research reveals if Strategic Bitcoin Reserve can pay off US debt by 2049

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Following Trump’s watershed speech at the Nashville Bitcoin conference in July 2024, Sen. Cynthia Lummis introduced her Bitcoin reserve bill, explicitly articulating that it is aimed to reduce U.S. debt. The new VanEck research reveals that if the act is adopted, Bitcoin may offset 18% of the national debt before the government gains the right to sell Bitcoin reserves.

On Feb. 21, 2025, an investment management company VanEck released a tool indicating the potential impact of Strategic Bitcoin Reserve on U.S. debt at the specified conditions. It allows the government to set the number of bitcoins purchased by the government annually, the average price at which bitcoins are being bought in 2025, and the average compound growth rate of the BTC price and U.S. debt.

The calculator tool is based on VanEck research outlining how soon the debt may be offset by the BTC reserve at the set parameters, such as the BTC…

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