Summary:
- Expectations on this week’s 20-Year bonds and 10-Year TIPS auctions: The auction for 20-year bonds is expected to attract weak demand due to political uncertainties, lower liquidity, and less favorable yield curve positioning. In contrast, the 10-year TIPS auction is expected to be more balanced due to attractive real yields and potential interest rate cuts.
- Demand at the 20-year bond auction is crucial to understand duration appetite: Demand at the 20-year bond auction is crucial for gauging investors’ appetite for longer durations, particularly after last week’s weak interest in the 30-year tenor. If demand for the 20-year bonds increases, it could signal the onset of a short-term bond rally ahead of the Fed’s anticipated interest rate cuts, despite ongoing economic and political uncertainties.
- Impact on Bond Markets: The results of this week’s Treasury auctions will influence the bond market, potentially causing 10-year…


