For now, gold is emerging as the winner. Prices have soared to an all-time high near $4,000 per ounce and are expected to retain their shine if the impasse drags on. As of 6:45 p.m., the metal is trading 0.25% at $3,868.83.
Analysts say part of the rally is linked to the dollar’s weakness: the greenback has historically retreated during shutdowns. According to ING Bank, a further slide in the dollar could bolster the Japanese yen and even the euro, reinforcing safe-haven flows away from the US currency.
Bullion has soared more than 48% this year, putting it on track for the biggest annual gain since 1979. Monthly ETF inflows in September were the largest in three years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
US Treasuries, particularly at the long end, are also holding strong. Investors often turn to government bonds in times of stress, betting on weaker growth prospects. This shutdown is no exception.
“Coupon and debt service…
