China’s stock surge has echoes of the 2015 bubble. What’s different

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A customer watches stock market at a stock exchange in Hangzhou, China, on September 27, 2024. 

Costfoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

BEIJING — The rocket higher in Chinese stocks so far looks different from the market bubble in 2015, analysts said.

Major mainland China stock indexes surged by more than 8% Monday, extending a winning streak on the back of stimulus hopes. Trading volume on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges hit 2.59 trillion yuan ($368.78 billion), surpassing a high of 2.37 trillion yuan on May 28, 2015, according to Wind Information.

Over six months from 2014 to 2015, the Chinese stock market doubled in value, while leverage climbed, Aaron Costello, regional head for Asia at Cambridge Associates, pointed out Monday.

This time around, the market hasn’t run up as much, while leverage is lower, he said. “We’re not in the danger zone yet.”

Stock market leverage by percentage and value were far higher in 2015 than data…

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