Following U.S. President Donald Trump’s phone calls with the presidents of Russia and Ukraine on Wednesday, analysts at Bloomberg have published an article outlining three possible scenarios for how the war could end.
While a path to peace remains “highly uncertain,” as Putin shows “no inclination that he wants to compromise,” Bloomberg writes, the “broad contours” of a settlement on Ukraine appear to be taking shape. Its analysts predict three possibilities:
- The baseline (and most likely) scenario: The Ukrainian territories currently occupied by Russia remain in limbo under Moscow’s de facto control. Some territorial exchanges involving the parts of Russia’s Kursk region currently occupied by Ukrainian forces are possible. Ukraine receives certain security guarantees, with much of the negotiations focusing on how strong they would be, though NATO membership is likely off the table. Europe tries to persuade the U.S….
