Key takeaways:
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Bitcoin’s long-term CAGR of 42.5% outpaces the Nasdaq and gold, but is projected to drop to 30% by 2030.
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The power-law and quantile models keep BTC’s Q4 2025 target between $150,000–$200,000, with $1.2million to $1.5 million possible by 2035.
The long-term growth of Bitcoin (BTC) remains exceptional, according to a recent Bitcoin Intelligence Report, noting that even in the context of other major assets, its trajectory stands out.
The report compared the Nasdaq’s 10-year rolling compound annual growth rate (CAGR), which typically sits in the mid-single to low-teens, with the latest decade delivering 16%. Gold has averaged 10.65% over the past decade, rising to 12.88% when adjusted for its 2% annual supply growth.
Meanwhile, the US M2 money supply has expanded at roughly 6% annually over the same period. Against this backdrop,…
