Aggressive Treasury Plays: Betting on September Fed Rate Cut

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Editor’s note: Any and all references to time frames longer than one trading day are for purposes of market context only, and not recommendations of any holding time frame. Daily rebalancing ETFs are not meant to be held unmonitored for long periods. If you don’t have the resources, time or inclination to constantly monitor and manage your positions, leveraged and inverse ETFs are not for you.

Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries have trended lower lately with bond markets pricing in a Federal Reserve rate cut as early as September. Aside from the usual Fed speculation, add in some extra uncertainty for the U.S. presidential election and interest rate traders may see some action in coming weeks and months.

The closely watched 10-year yield is still above 4% after blasting higher from a low of around 0.6% in 2020. Interest rates may be approaching a key crossroads with bond traders pricing in a greater than 90% likelihood that the Fed…

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