US Treasuries weaken, credit markets freeze as traders price tariff risks — Capital Brief

Date:

The news:
US bond markets showed signs of exhaustion after their biggest weekly rally since August, while credit markets stalled as Treasuries weakened in a volatile session on Monday with yields across all maturities briefly higher by at least 15 basis points.

The numbers: Yields on 30-year bonds fell to 4.32%, rose to 4.62% and landed at
around 4.60% in late afternoon.

Yields across all maturities were briefly higher by at least 15 basis points during Monday’s session.

After falling below 3.9% in overnight trading, 10-year Treasury yields reversed course and climbed above 4.15%.

Traders’ bets on how much the Federal Reserve will cut rates this year fluctuated between three and five quarter-point cuts. Four cuts are now reflected in overnight interest-rate swaps, with the first fully priced in for June.

Meanwhile, credit spreads have widened sharply since President Donald Trump imposed sweeping tariffs, reaching the widest levels…

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