US Exceptionalism Will Propel Stocks, Dollar in 2025: MLIV Pulse

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(Bloomberg) — US stocks and the dollar will be the biggest beneficiaries of American economic growth set to be boosted by Donald Trump’s policies, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey.

By year-end, 61% of 553 respondents said the S&P 500 will be higher due to strong US economic and earnings growth. Several cited the incoming Trump administration as a likely catalyst, in a survey conducted after the Federal Reserve’s Dec. 18 policy decision through Dec. 31. 

When asked whether Trump’s policies would boost or drag the dollar, or have no major effect, about half said the incoming president will have a net positive effect on the currency, citing the impact of his preference for tariffs. Notably, 27% of survey takers see the same policy as reason to expect a weaker greenback. 

The divide highlights the double-edged sword that Trump’s slated policies are expected to have on the US economy and markets. While…

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