The battered bond market starts 2025 facing some difficult issues about debt

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The U.S. Treasury building in Washington, D.C., on Aug. 15, 2023.

Nathan Howard | Bloomberg | Getty Images

As if the bond rout in 2024 wasn’t bad enough, fixed income investors face multiple challenges in the year ahead, including one under-the-radar worry about short term notes coming due.

Nearly $3 trillion of U.S. debt is expected to hit maturity in 2025, much of it of a short-term nature that the Treasury Department has been issuing in large amounts over the past few years.

With the government expected to try to lengthen the duration of that debt when it is time to roll it over, it could provide another headache should the market not be prepared to absorb what already is expected to be massive Treasury issuance as the U.S. finances a nearly $2 trillion budget deficit.

“If you assume that we’re going to be running trillion-dollar-plus deficits beyond 2025 then eventually, cumulatively, that will overwhelm the T-bill issuance,” Tom…

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