(Bloomberg) — US stocks can soar to fresh highs thanks to the Federal Reserve’s aggressive half-point interest rate cut last week, but it also could cause inflation to resurface if central bankers don’t tread carefully, according to Wall Street strategist Ed Yardeni.
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The latest policy decision lifted the odds of an “outright melt-up” in equity prices — like during the dot-com bubble when the S&P 500 Index roared 220% from 1995 to the end of the century — to 30% from 20%. He placed the chances of a bull market at 80%, while reserving a 20% probability for a 1970s-like scenario, when stock markets around the world were gripped by volatility due to inflation and geopolitical tensions.
But there’s a broader risk if things start running too hot.
“If they overheat the economy and create a bubble in the stock market, they’re creating some issues,” the founder of eponymous firm Yardeni Research Inc….
