Making sense of the markets this week: July 7, 2024

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Prediction: Tesla will finish the year down 30%

Let’s wait and see how this one goes. If I wrote this column a week ago, I would have said Tesla looked like an excellent bet to be down 30% by year end. But shares jumped more than 10% this week on its positive second-quarter news. Despite the high numbers for vehicle deliveries, it has been a volatile year for Tesla shareholders, with prices down 42% at one point. Our central thesis was that decreased profit margins and increased competition would lead to lower profit projections. That still feels solid to me. 

Prediction: Crypto might be volatile, but could finish 2024 up 50%

This one hit the bullseye. After going on a tear in February, bitcoin was down almost 20% between mid-March and the beginning of May. 

Source: Google Finance

Overall, bitcoin only has to go up slightly over the next six months to meet that 50% return prediction. Of course, I believe the…

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