US bond market reacts to Biden’s exit with ‘Trump trade’ reversal

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By Davide Barbuscia

NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. government bond investors on Monday unwound some of the trades that were put in place on expectations of a second U.S. presidency of Republican Donald Trump, as U.S. President Joe Biden’s exit from the presidential race was seen as improving the Democrats’ elections odds.

Biden’s decision on Sunday to step aside and endorse Vice President Kamala Harris to replace him as the Democratic candidate cast doubt over a Trump victory. Online prediction site PredictIt Monday morning showed pricing for a Trump victory slipped 3 cents to 60 cents over the previous 24 hours, while bets on an election win by Harris climbed 13 cents to 38 cents.

“The market’s response to the presumed change to Harris is a slight offset to the ‘Trump-trade’ of renewed inflationary angst,” analysts at BMO Capital Markets wrote in a note.

Long-term U.S. Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices,…

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